Election Day is Tuesday, and you’ll be sure to discover on Wednesday that fewer people vote in off-year/non-Presidential years than will vote next year, as shown here (PDF), here and here. It’s ironic, I think, because one has a much greater voice in municipal elections than in the Presidential race. Even next November, more people will vote at the top of the ticket, and ignore the “lesser” races.
I’ve been involved in “get-out-the-vote” pitches before. My last strategy, sort of a reverse psychology thing, was “don’t vote – mote power for me”. So:
1. Are you voting on Tuesday? Why or why not/ I am, just so I can kvetch about the results. 2. What would it take to get more people to vote? (Electronic voting, instant runoff voting, bribery – somewhere in the Southwest, they offered a random voter a cash prize for voting, which turned out to be of dubious legality.) I think IRV’s a good idea in multi-candidate (3 or more) elections, but it won’t solve the ennui problem. *** Pulse Poll of the Democratic candidates for President, with videos delineating a couple of their positions.
2. Cut/paste and send me the results (or post on your blog, and let me know in the comments section.)
3. Re-vote, but this time, indicate the intensity of your position.
4. Cut/paste and send me THOSE results (or post on your blog, and let me know in the comments section.)
Before revealing my picks, you’ll note that there is something called the Composite Candidate: “The calculator compiles the most popular responses from all voters to create a composite candidate, a candidate whose views match most with the average responses of users.”
Composite Candidate * Delaware Senator Joseph Biden (D) – 43.48% * Illinois Senator Barack Obama (D) – 41.30% * Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson (R) – 41.30% * Connecticut Senator Christopher Dodd (D) – 36.96% * Former North Carolina Senator John Edwards (D) – 36.96% * New York Senator Hillary Clinton (D) – 34.78% * Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) – 34.78% * New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson (D) – 34.78% * Businessman John Cox (R) – 32.61% * Former Alaska Senator Mike Gravel (D) – 30.43% * Arizona Senator John McCain (R) – 28.26% * Texas Representative Ron Paul (R) – 28.26% * Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney (R) – 28.26% * Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson (R) – 28.26% * Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee (R) – 26.09% * Ohio Representative Dennis Kucinich (D) – 23.91% * Kansas Senator Sam Brownback (R) – 21.74% * Colorado Representative Tom Tancredo (R) – 21.74%
Now, here are my top selections, with no regard to intensity: Former Alaska Senator Mike Gravel (D) 100.00% match Ohio Representative Dennis Kucinich (D) – 94.74% Illinois Senator Barack Obama (D) – 84.21% Delaware Senator Joseph Biden (D) – 78.95% Connecticut Senator Christopher Dodd (D) – 78.95% Former North Carolina Senator John Edwards (D) – 78.95% New York Senator Hillary Clinton (D) – 73.68% New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson (D) – 73.68% Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson (R) – 57.89% Businessman John Cox (R) – 47.37% Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) – 42.11% Texas Representative Ron Paul (R) – 36.84% Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee (R) – 31.58% Arizona Senator John McCain (R) – 26.32% Kansas Senator Sam Brownback (R) – 21.05% Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney (R) – 21.05% Colorado Representative Tom Tancredo (R) – 15.79% Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson (R) – 15.79%
Whereas, when I add my intensity factors: Ohio Representative Dennis Kucinich (D) 96.88% match Former Alaska Senator Mike Gravel (D) – 81.25% New York Senator Hillary Clinton (D) – 71.88% Former North Carolina Senator John Edwards (D) – 68.75% Connecticut Senator Christopher Dodd (D) – 65.63% Illinois Senator Barack Obama (D) – 65.63% Delaware Senator Joseph Biden (D) – 59.38% New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson (D) – 56.25% Texas Representative Ron Paul (R) – 37.50% Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) – 28.13% Businessman John Cox (R) – 25.00% Arizona Senator John McCain (R) – 25.00% Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney (R) – 12.50% Kansas Senator Sam Brownback (R) – 9.38% Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee (R) – 9.38% Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson (R) – 9.38% California Representative Duncan Hunter (R) – 6.25% Colorado Representative Tom Tancredo (R) – 6.25%
Strange: Kucinich and Gravel, the two guys left off some recent Iowa debate, switch for the top spot, Clinton (who I’ve never voted for) moves from 7th to 3rd, and Obama falls from 3rd to 6th, but the Top 7 are still the Top 7, with Richardson 8th in both scenarios. One thing is for sure: I won’t be voting for Tom Tancredo. Or for Sam Brownback, though I’d probably enjoy hanging out with him, based on his appearances on the Sunday morning talk shows.
A curious glitch: Duncan Hunter isn’t on the first list (or on the composite candidate roster), while Fred Thompson’s missing from the second. *** “In his new book, The Evangelical President, Bill Sammon paints a riveting portrait of a president who is as committed to worldwide democracy as he is to his faith—and guided by legitimate principles that his critics aren’t willing to understand. In this far-reaching book, Sammon details: Why Bush believes the Republicans will hold the White House in 2008″
I was reading in Newsweek a couple weeks ago about some (Republican) politician complaining about ex-cons voting. I don’t see the problem. I think the ex-cons SHOULD vote. Perhaps: 1) They’ll feel more a part of the society as engaged citizens. 2) They’ll be able to better suss out the crooks who actually get elected, the Duke Cunninghams, the Bob Neys.
If anything, I’d think we would like to get MORE people to vote. Are people afraid that a bunch of former felons will get together and take over the town? If so, they should get out and register (and vote) themselves.
(Greg noted this story about the White House pursing legal efforts to limit voter turnout. This is not just unjust, it’s pathetic.)
I also was interested in the recent French election. Apparently, the top two vote getters, Nicolas Sarkozy, who got 31% in the first round, and Ségolène Royal (26%), will be in a runoff, but the candidate who is reportedly most acceptable (or least unacceptable) to the widest number of people, François Bayrou, came in third (19%), so won’t be in the runoff.
So I’m wondering:
1) What restrictions, beyond making sure somebody is of age and actually lives in the district, should there be on voters? I’m against too many restridctions.
2) What can be done to engage more people in the political process? Would Instant Runoff Voting (IRV) or other alternate voting methodologies work? How about voting over several days and/or online? *** For free IRV? stickers send a self-addressed stamped envelope to: voteIRV.org, 26 Glen Street, Malden, MA 02148. Spread the word and make it stick: IRV; for a better democracy! *** Dennis Kucinich, member of Congress and Presidential candidate, has introduced Articles of Impeachment Against Vice-President Richard Cheney. Kindly, Kucinich waited until the the Veep’s blood clot was under control to reintroduce the measure. *** Bush v. Bush. *** Erin Davies makes the best of a bad situation, letting the world see and contemplate the hate speech scrawled on her vehicle. The initial act of vandalism was especially disturbing to me since it happened in my city (Albany), but Erin’s reframing is quite intriguing. *** What the rains of last week did to the basement of the David Sarnoff Library last week. *** Last, but certainly not least, send some love to Kelly and Lefty.
ROG
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Election Day is Tuesday, and you’ll be sure to discover on Wednesday that fewer people vote in off-year/non-Presidential years than will vote next year, as shown here (PDF), here and here. It’s ironic, I think, because one has a much greater voice in municipal elections than in the Presidential race. Even next November, more people will vote at the top of the ticket, and ignore the “lesser” races.