The October Surprise in 2020

“autocratic malarkey”

hydrochloroquineI woke up in the morning, and suddenly, it made sense, in a Bizarro world sort of way. Many pundits said there was no October surprise in 2020. I would disagree. The surprise was djt getting COVID.

He flies on Marine One to the hospital on a Friday. By Sunday, he’s riding around in a limo, waving to supporters. And on Monday evening, he’s back at the White House, defiantly ripping off his mask, saying “Screw you, COVID.” A week or so later, he’s off doing dozens of his rallies before tens of thousands of his adoring acolytes, including five events in four states in one day.

Now, you and I may see this as grossly irresponsible behavior, creating a bunch of possible super-spreader events. But to his fans, he is portraying Strength and Resilience.

It’s like in that old Saturday Night Live skit. He is the Arnold clones, Hans and Franz. He’s going to “Pump you up.” Meanwhile, the other guy, he says, is hiding in his basement like a “girly man.”

Never underestimate the appeal of toxic masculinity, especially mixed with half-truths. My gut says that the big blue wave didn’t come because those mysterious undecided voters leaned red. And possibly because his supporters lie to pollsters.

“The unhinged, dangerous, Democracy-destabilizing thing”

He gave a speech at the White House around 2:30 a.m. Wednesday in which he prematurely declared victory. This despite the fact that “millions upon millions of legitimate votes were still being counted. As Vanity Fair noted: “The goal, in all of its authoritarian bluster, was to get out in front of a result that might not land in his favor.”

Now, “the networks quickly and aggressively called bulls**t on Trump’s remarks, either breaking away from the speech or butting in with fact-checks. ‘We are reluctant to step in but duty-bound to point out when he says, ‘We did win this election, we’ve already won,’ that’s not based in the facts at all,’ said MSNBC’s Brian Williams.

His colleague Nicolle Wallace put it this way: ‘It’s straight-up autocratic malarkey, and what we have to keep in mind is that he’s not the boss of the counting…”

“CBS threw up a graphic stating, ‘CBS NEWS IS NOT PROJECTING A WINNER IN THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE,’ and Norah O’Donnell described Trump as ‘castrating the facts…’

“But perhaps the most noteworthy analysis was that seen on Trump’s frenemy network, Fox News… At a historic and uncharted moment like this, it was crucial to have a respected veteran newsman like anchor Chris Wallace telling the viewers what they needed to hear.

“‘This is an extremely flammable situation, and the president just threw a match on it,’ Wallace said. ‘He hasn’t won these states. Nobody is saying he’s won the states. The states haven’t said that he’s won.’

“The question is, did the viewers believe him?”

Where he leads, they will follow

Apparently not. Because the media, he keeps telling them, is fake. This despite the fact the shift in vote count was predictable.

“Dozens of [his] angry supporters… converged on vote-counting centers in Detroit and Phoenix as the returns went against him Wednesday in the two key states. The folks pounding on the Plexiglass in Detroit chanting “Stop the Count” made the NBC News on Wednesday. I feared for the wellbeing of the election workers inside.

Demonstrators, some armed, gathered at the government office in Maricopa County, AZ yelling, “Kill Fox,” and “Count the Vote.” Reportedly, the group became so threatening that the work of counting the vote had to be ended for the evening.

What does one want in a president? I found this four-minute video from John Green (no relation) about the decency of Joe Biden rather touching. And this 20-minute piece of John Oliver on the incompetence of the coronavirus response infuriating.

But djt apparently overcame the COVID. So he must be America Strong, even if he leaves it to his idiot son-in-law to “Let the Markets Decide America’s COVID-19 Fate.”

His fans appreciate his disdain for “political correctness.” He orchestrates his rallies as places to express their anger: “Fire Fauci,” “Lock Her Up.” Yet they’re OK with him lying to them about the seriousness of the pandemic, pushing conspiracy theories, dismissing climate change, pandering to racists, using the government for personal gain, and ruining our international reputation.

Yes, he suggests he’s for individual liberty, but it’s for those who agree with him. Lower taxes but really for the rich. Smaller government when it involves human services or the environment, but not the military. 

My rational brain says his fans are crazy. But I also have to admit I’m just not experiencing his persona the same way as they do. And it’s not just the one person but Trumpism I just don’t grok.

Will there be another snow day?

No remote education without electricity

snow dayI found this article, from the New York Times, I think, oddly sad. New York City announced back in August or September that its school system would not allow snow days this year. They would instead require students to learn from home. “The change could be the beginning of the end for the snow day as we know it.”

Yes, I understand that “schools that lost instructional time during the pandemic are desperate not to lose any more.” And sure, “both teachers and students are now far more familiar with virtual learning. So it’s easy to imagine how snow days will turn into virtual-learning days even after the pandemic ends.” I did not know that “some snow-prone states, like Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia, have given districts this option for several years.”

Here’s the crux of the matter. “Is it a good idea? Opponents of snow days point to the pressure they put on working parents, as well as the problem of missed meals for low-income students. Of course, a virtual-learning day does little to solve either of those issues. And snow days are one of the great spontaneous joys of childhood. They are a ‘pause on real life and a chance to let kids be kids.'”

Mother Nature

Thus, I took some peculiar fascination from a brief but violent storm rushing through our area on the afternoon of October 7. Torrential rain, and winds so severe that I had to lean on the door with all my weight to close it around 4 pm. It was an unexpectedly severe weather event. I was glad my wife and daughter were home.

Even the next day, the power outages, which affected at least 160,000 in the area at its peak, were largely unresolved. This was the worst problem since Hurricane Irene in 2011. Many school districts were closed in Albany, Rensselaer, Saratoga, and Schenectady Counties NY. While a couple attempted a remote learning day, most did not. It’s because the schools and/or their students could not log in to the Internet.

Both my wife (in person) and my daughter (virtually) went to school on October 8. But in the city of Albany, the school robocalled that the phones were out, then back on, then off again. Anyone missing online school that day was not penalized. A receptionist from my podiatrist’s office called me on her personal phone line to postpone my appointment for midday on that day; their computers were down.

I spent nearly an hour cleaning up the small branches that fell from our trees. We were lucky because we suffered no damage. Others had huge limbs come crashing down, downing power lines and blocking roads.

Maybe there will be snow days after all. Though it doesn’t affect me directly, I’m sort of rooting for one or two, despite the remote learning option. “Let kids be kids.” Though it would also be nice to develop an electrical grid not so susceptible to the weather

 

A most peculiar Halloween

Math is everywhere

Ah, the peculiar Halloween of 2020. My wife and I mused on what we would do if we were to actually get a trick or treater at our door. I considered looking on YouTube for videos on building a candy catapult, but I opted against that.

I talked with a friend on the phone who was distraught during our previous discussion. He’s happier now.

At some point, I caught the news that Sean Connery had died. I was sad. Yet, here’s a confession: I’ve never seen ANY James Bond film. But I liked his advocacy for Scotland. He was a hoot in that third Indiana Jones film. I also enjoyed the movie Finding Forrester (2000). Here are 10 movie quotes.

I printed out three recipes for my wife. One was from Australia and had a reference to 160 Celsius. What’s that in Fahrenheit? I asked my phone, but it kept hearing “Once it.” Heck with that, I’m using pen and paper. I need to multiply the Celsius temp by 9/5, then add 32, which gets me 320°F. Hey, I still remember!

In the afternoon, a man in his 40s or 50s who I had never seen before rang the doorbell. He wanted to know if he could do some yard work. Immediately, I said “no thanks.” Then I thought about it. 1) He obviously needed the work. 2) I could afford to pay him.

And most importantly, 3) I HATE raking. It is what my economics teacher might call the “law of diminishing returns.” The more I do it, the less satisfying it is. I went to the front porch. The guy was already four houses up the street. I called, and he came back. He swept the porch and the sidewalk, as well as raking the lawn. Money well spent.

I did a couple of Venmo transaction for my wife so she could fund some teaching activities. I’ve yet to use it for my own needs.

The total was zero

Walking to the bank and back, I was struck by how few people were outside. It was a chilly day, but still. And I was reminded that it took a pandemic for my bank to dispense five- and ten-dollar bills, not just twenties.

I’d purchased about $30 of candy earlier in the week. NOBODY came to our door, compared to about 240 last year. Perhaps it was the fact that there were alternative activities.

From 3 pm to 5 pm the City of Albany will partner with a variety of sponsors and community organizations to host Halloween events in 11 City Parks.

“As per guidance published by New York State and the Centers for Disease Control, the City of Albany is calling on residents to avoid high-risk activities to help prevent the spread COVID-19, such as door-to-door trick-or-treating or trunk-or-treats, attending crowded costume parties held indoors, or going to an indoor haunted house where people may be crowded together. “

I had missed the memo. On one hand, I was really happy not having to worry about opening the door. On the other hand, I missed seeing the costumes. No satisfying some people, I guess.

My wife and I went out about 9 p.m. to see the full moon. A little while later, we went to bed. But I could not sleep at all. It really wasn’t the noisy next-door neighbors in their backyard. Maybe it was the over 98,000 COVID cases the day before. Or my fear of what the body politic was going to do this week. A peculiar Halloween, indeed

Antiquated political system leaves democracy behind

iPhone 1

second-rate democracyIn the Perspective section of the Albany Times Union on October 11, I read an article, “Democracy left behind.” The subtitle was “Antiquated political system needs modern solutions.” The piece was written by Douglas J. Amy, professor emeritus of politics at Mount Holyoke College in Massachusetts.

He says that “other Western countries do democracy better” than the United States in several ways. The US is “the country democracy left behind.” In fact, Douglas Amy runs a website called Second-Rate Democracy. He defines seventeen ways America is “less democratic.” Fortunately, he also notes the ways the country can do better.

“Most Americans have a sense that our political system is broken, but few realize that democracy is working much better in most other Western countries. Or that these other developed democracies have rejected many of the basic institutional characteristics that define the U.S political system.”

Consider the following

“Besides Denmark, no other advanced democracy follows the U.S. example and appoints Supreme Court justices for life – all now have mandatory term limits or age limits for justices.
“None use an Electoral College that allows a minority of voters to choose its chief executive.
“Most use different voting systems that make gerrymandering impossible and create more representative multi-party legislatures.
“None have anything like our misrepresentative Senate that gives the 40 million voters in the 22 smallest states forty-four seats, while giving 40 million Californians two seats.
“Nearly all have rejected our conflict-prone separation-of-powers model of government and have chosen instead a more cooperative parliamentary system that avoids the legislative gridlock that plagues our government.
“And all rely much more on public money, not private money from rich organizations and individuals, to fund their election campaigns.”

“Americans like to brag that we have the oldest constitution and the oldest political system. But that’s like bragging that your phone has the oldest operating system. Democracy has moved on and improved, but we have not.”

To be fair

There have been some tentative efforts to fix some of these problems.    Ranked voting has been used in some jurisdictions in nearly half the states.

The  National Popular Vote plan would “guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes across all 50 states and the District of Columbia. It has been enacted into law in 16 jurisdictions with 196 electoral votes.” Opponents have argued that it is unconstitutional.

But most of the points Douglas Amy has brought up have been identified as corrupting without any sustained way to rectify them. These include too much power of lobbyists, too much private money in campaigns, and the evil of gerrymandering. He points to some online resources.

In a Facebook post, Professor Amy notes: “Freedom House does an annual study to determine which countries do best at protecting political rights and civil liberties. In their 2020 report, the U.S. is ranked 52nd – right ahead of Slovakia”.

No matter who wins today, there is a systemic problem in the United States. And it’s beyond the power of either political party to enact a quick fix.

See also The Winner of the 2020 Election Won’t Be Inheriting a Genuine Democracy by in Truthout.

More in common: The Hidden Tribes of America

They believe we can find common ground

More in CommonI came across an interview with Stephen Hawkins, the global director of research from More in Common, “an organization focused on building a more united America.” He shared the latest finding on the “perception gap” and “hidden tribes” in the country.

The basic premise “builds off of pretty robust academic literature into a subject that’s called false polarization, [which is] the idea that among people who are the most politically engaged, they tend to overestimate how extreme and how different and how ideological their political opponents are.”

He and his colleagues asked Democrats what they think Republicans believe on a number of key issues and then flipped it. “All we did was, we looked at the difference between what Republicans told us they actually think about these issues and what Democrats estimated that they would think on those same issues and vice versa.

“What we generated from that was something we call the perception gap, which is the difference between what people actually believe and what their political opponents estimate that they’ll believe.

“And the key headline from our study is that the more politically engaged people, the most active voters, the biggest donors, the biggest activists on each side tend to overestimate how extreme and how different their political opponents’ views are. And the people who are closer to the middle who are less politically engaged tend to have a better read on what their political opponents think.”

As an old political science major, I find this utterly fascinating. My gut tells me there’s some truth to this. I KNOW many of these people.

An Exhausted Majority

In the Hidden Tribes report, the More in Common finding suggests an Exhausted Majority who aren’t political centrists or moderates. “On specific issues, their views range across the spectrum. But while they hold a variety of views, the members are united in that:

“They are fed up with the polarization plaguing American government and society

“They are often forgotten in the public discourse, overlooked because their voices are seldom heard

“They are flexible in their views, willing to endorse different policies according to the precise situation rather than sticking ideologically to a single set of beliefs

“They believe we can find common ground”

I’ve said many times here that we should try reading websites or publications that do not fit with our usual point of view. The interview came from something called The Daily Signal, “brought to you by more than half a million members of The Heritage Foundation.”

The article/podcast was titled “Have You Talked to a Liberal Lately? You Might Have More in Common Than You Think” by Rob Bluey and Virginia Allen. Sometimes, you can find interesting information in unexpected places.

Social media & sharing icons powered by UltimatelySocial